Jeffrey Gundlach, co-founder and chief executive of DoubleLine Capital, said on Wednesday that the major declines in equity and credit markets could suggest that “margin calls are going on.”
In a telephone interview, Gundlach said he did not expect the high-yield junk bond market to bottom out unless the volatility index rises over 40. “This is not stopping any time soon,” Gundlach said. The CBOE Volatility Index was up more than 17 percent on Wednesday to 30.56.
“This is a liquidation cycle. All of these things that were so loved are being sold. We have a ‘sell the winners mentality’,” Gundlach said.
Wall Street moved deep into the red in volatile trading, extending this year’s selloff as oil prices continued to plummet.
Gundlach explained that tumbling oil prices are a symptom of central bankers’ zero interest-rate policies.
“Oil is in massive oversupply due to ZIRP (zero interest-rate policy) induced over-investment,” he said. “And crashing oil is not the cause of all this chaos, it is a symptom of global economic weakness. As are all the tumbling risk markets.”
The rout was across the board: all 30 Dow components and all 10 major S&P sectors were in the red, with five down more than 3 percent. The small-cap Russell 2000 index fell 2.7 percent. The New York Stock Exchange recorded 1,314 stocks hitting new 52-week lows, while 809 sank to new lows on the Nasdaq, the most on a single day since Aug. 24 for both exchanges.
Gundlach said last Tuesday that oil had hit a short-term bottom as it flirted with the $30 mark. Since then, U.S. crude has fallen to nearly $26 per barrel.
Speaking with CNBC after the Federal Reserve announced it would raise rates in December, Gundlach said the central bank may have justhad a “mission accomplished” mistake.
“What’s fascinating about all this is one of the reasons the Fed gave for demurring about raising interest rates back in September was global financial conditions,” he said earlier that day. “It’s fascinating how global market conditions are worse in most places than they were in the middle of September.”
Gundlach is the founder and CEO of Los Angeles-based DoubleLine Capital, which manages about $85 billion.